Cedi appreciates as $1 now goes for ¢10.70

The Ghana cedi has in less than five hours today, December 14, 2022, gained 5.6% value against the US dollar, resulting in a cumulative gain of approximately 33.6% in the month of December alone.

$1 is now trading at an average rate of ¢10.70 with a market range spanning GH¢10.70 to GH¢11.28.

This put the cedi as the strongest performing currency against the American ‘greenback’ in December 2022.

The cedi slumped by more than 54% against the dollar before December 2022.

However, it has strengthened by more than 33% since the beginning of December 2022 after Finance Minister, Ken Ofori-Atta, launched government’s domestic debt exchange programme, followed by the latest announcement of the International Monetary Fund’s staff-level agreement of a bailout package worth $3 billion.

The US Federal Reserve has also eased its monetary policy tightening as inflationary pressures reduce with a fear of recession in 2023.

Ghana seals $3bn IMF programme

After more than four months of negotiations, Ghana finally sealed a $3 billion programme with the Bretton Wood institution, pending the approval of its Executive Board.

According to Stéphane Roudet, Mission Chief for Ghana, his team “reached staff-level agreement with the Ghanaian authorities on a three-year program supported by an arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) in the amount of SDR 2.242 billion or about $3 billion”.

“The economic programme aims to restore macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability while laying the foundation for stronger and more inclusive growth. The staff-level agreement is subject to IMF Management and Executive Board approval and receipt of the necessary financing assurances by Ghana’s partners and creditors.” He stressed.

What is an Extended Credit Facility (EFC)?

The Extended Credit Facility (ECF) provides financial assistance to countries with protracted balance of payments problems. The ECF was created under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) as part of a broader reform to make the Fund’s financial support more flexible and better tailored to the diverse needs of low-income countries (LICs), including in times of crisis. The ECF is the Fund’s main tool for providing medium-term support to LICs.

Purpose. The ECF supports countries’ economic programs aimed at moving toward a stable and sustainable macroeconomic position consistent with strong and durable poverty reduction and growth. The ECF may also help catalyze additional foreign aid.

Eligibility. The ECF is available to all PRGT-eligible member countries that face a protracted balance of payments problem, i.e. when the resolution of the underlying macroeconomic imbalances would be expected to extend over the medium or longer term.

Duration and repeated use. Assistance under an ECF arrangement is provided for an initial duration of three to up to five years, with an overall maximum duration of five years. Following the expiration, cancellation, or termination of an ECF arrangement, additional ECF arrangements may be approved.

Access. Access to ECF financing is determined on a case-by-case basis, taking into account the country’s balance of payments need, the strength of its economic program and capacity to repay the Fund, the amount of outstanding Fund credit and the member’s record of past use of Fund credit, and is guided by access norms.  The IMF’s Executive Board approved new access limits and norms in July 2021 as part of the Fund’s review of concessional financing and policies. Normal access to concessional financing under the PRGT is now limited to 145 percent of quota per year, and total outstanding concessional credit to 435 percent of quota. These limits can be exceeded in exceptional circumstances, with no hard caps on annual or cumulative access, provided the PRGT exceptional access criteria are satisfied.

Focused conditionality

Under the ECF, member countries agree to implement a set of policies that will help them make progress toward a stable and sustainable macroeconomic position over the medium term. These commitments, including specific conditions, are described in the country’s letter of intent.

The IMF’s program conditionality should be parsimonious and focused on policy actions that are critical to achieving the program’s objectives. ECF-supported programs should be aligned with the country’s own development strategy and aim to advance the country’s poverty reduction and growth objectives. The development strategy should be laid out in a Poverty Reduction and Growth Strategy document.

Quantitative conditions are used to monitor macroeconomic policy variables such as monetary aggregates, international reserves, fiscal balances, and external borrowing, reflecting the country’s program objectives. ECF-supported programs aim to safeguard social and other priority spending, including through explicit quantitative targets where possible.

Structural benchmarks help monitor macro-critical reforms to achieve program goals. These benchmarks vary across programs but could, for example, include measures to improve financial sector operations, build up social safety nets, or strengthen public financial management.